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Bayesian estimation of the basic reproduction number in stochastic epidemic models
Basic reproduction number Bayesian inference Epidemics Linear programming Stochastic epidemic models
2009/9/22
Our main focus is on the basic reproduction number, a quantity
of central importance in mathematical epidemic theory, whose value essentially
dictates whether or not a large epidemic outbreak can oc...
Inferring Markov Chains：Bayesian Estimation，Model Comparison，Entropy Rate，and Out-of-class Modeling
Markov Chains Bayesian Estimation Model Comparison Entropy Rate Out-of-class Modeling
2010/4/27
Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in
time or space. We show how to infer k-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary k, from finite data
by app...