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Forecasting Model for Crude Oil Price Using Artificial Neural Networks and Commodity Futures Prices
Crude Oil Future Price ANN Prediction Models
2010/11/1
This paper presents a model based on multilayer feedforward neural network to forecast crude oil spot price direction in the short-term, up to three days ahead. A great deal
of attention was paid on ...
Price Formation in a Competitive Market When the Payoff of an Asset Depends on the Market Price
Market microstructure CARA-Normal private information cost of capital
2009/5/7
We consider a competitive market where the final payoff of a risky asset depends on the market price of the asset. It is shown that when the final payoff depends on the market price, there are multip...
Price Impact
Price Impact
2010/10/29
Price impact refers to the correlation between an incoming order (to buy or to sell) and the subsequent price change. That a buy trade should push the price up seems at first sight obvious and is easi...
Improved and Developed Upper Bound of Price of Anarchy in Two Echelon Case
newsvendor problem price of anarchy convex optimization inequalities geometric interpretation
2010/11/1
Price of anarchy, the performance ratio, which could characterize the loss of efficiency of the distributed supply chain management compared with the integrated supply chain management
is discussed b...
State price density estimation via nonparametric mixtures
Black–Scholes equation European call options nonparametric mixture state price density
2010/11/2
We consider nonparametric estimation of the state price density encapsulated in option prices. Unlike usual density estimation problems,we only observe option prices and their corresponding strike pri...
On the Existence of Consistent Price Systems
Consistent pricing systems No-arbitrage Transaction costs Full support, Conditional
2010/11/3
In [8], a sufficient condition for the existence of consistent price systems (CPSs) was given. In this note, we give a weaker sufficient condition for a CPS to exist. We use this condition
to show th...
Efficient swaptions price in Hull-White one factor model
Efficient swaptions price factor model
2010/10/29
The Hull-White one factor model is used to price interest rate options. The parameters
of the model are often calibrated to simple liquid instruments, in particular European
swaptions. It is therefo...
Equilibria in Second Price Auctions with Information Acquisition
second price auctions information acquisition heterogenous bidders the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium
2010/7/2
This paper studies equilibria in second price auctions with information acquisition in an independent private value setting. We focus on the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium in the information ...
Indifference price with general semimartingales
Indifference price - utility maximization – non locally bounded semimartingale –random endowment - incomplete market – Orlicz space – convex duality - convex risk measure
2010/11/1
For utility functions u finite valued on R, we prove a duality formula for utility maximization
with random endowment in general semimartingale incomplete markets. The main novelty of the paper is th...
Inventories, Return Policy, and Equilibrium Price Dispersion under Demand Uncertainty
Returns policy demand uncertainty oligopoly
2008/1/17
AbstractReturns policies are often thought of as devices to prevent a manufacturer’s product from being discounted. It is commonly argued that such discounting discourages inventory holdings, and ther...
Microfoundations of Macro Fluctuations: Pattern of Large Numbers, Relative Price Movements, And Arbi
2008/1/17
The law of large numbers shows that the relative deviation for a macro system with N independent elements is of the order of . refore, the Lucas' approach to a microfoundations for macroeconomic fluct...
Dynamic Price Sequence and Incentive Compatibility
Dynamic Price Sequence Incentive Compatibility
2012/11/29
We introduce and study a new auction model in which a certain type of goods is offered over a period of time, and buyers arrive at different times and stay until a common deadline (unless their purcha...