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A statistical view on team handball results: home advantage, team fitness and prediction of match outcomes
Time series analysis of sports results statistics interdisciplinary applications of physics
2012/9/18
We analyze the results of the German Team Handball Bundesliga for ten seasons in a model-free statistical time series approach. We will show that the home advantage is nearly negligible compared to th...
Perturbation of matrices and non-negative rank with a view toward statistical models
Euclidean topology Jacobian matrix mixture models
2010/10/19
In this paper we study how perturbing a matrix changes its non-negative rank. We show that the non-negative rank is upper-semicontinuos and we describe some special families of perturbations. We apply...
Rejoinder: Likelihood Inference for Models with Unobservables Another View
Rejoinder Likelihood Inference Models Unobservables Another View
2010/10/15
First we should like to thank the editor for allowing us to respond to interesting discussions from the discussants,Molenberghs, Kenward and Verbeke (MKV), Louis and Meng, for the effort they have put...
Discussion of Likelihood Inference for Models with Unobservables: Another View
Discussion Likelihood Inference Models Unobservables Another View
2010/10/15
Lee and Nelder identify important issues and provide excellent advice and warnings associated with inferences and interpretations for models with unobserved, latent variables (random effects). Their d...
Likelihood Inference for Models with Unobservables: Another View
Hierarchical generalized linear model unobservables random effects likelihood
2010/10/14
There have been controversies among statisticians on (i) what to model and (ii) how to make inferences from models with unobservables. One such controversy concerns the difference between estimation ...
Confidence bands for densities, logarithmic point of view
Density Kernel estimator Asymptotic logarithmic level Asymptotic almost sure condence regions Moderate deviations principles
2009/6/12
Confidence bands for densities, logarithmic point of view.
A Stochastic View of Optimal Regret through Minimax Duality
Stochastic View Optimal Regret Minimax Duality
2010/3/19
We study the regret of optimal strategies for online convex optimization games. Using von Neumann's minimax theorem, we show that the optimal regret in this adversarial setting is closely related to t...