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Calibration diagnostics for point process models via the probability integral transform
Calibration diagnostics point process models probability integral transform
2013/6/14
We propose the use of the probability integral transform (PIT) for model validation in point process models. The simple PIT diagnostics assess the calibration of the model and can detect inconsistenci...
Probabilistic temperature forecasting with statistical calibration in Hungary
Probabilistic temperature forecasting with statistical calibration in Hungary
2013/4/27
Weather forecasting is mostly based on the outputs of deterministic numerical weather forecasting models. Multiple runs of these models with different initial conditions result in forecast ensembles w...