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FUNCTIONAL COEFFICIENT MOVING AVERAGE MODEL WITH APPLICATIONS TO FORECASTING CHINESE CPI
Moving Average model functional coefficient model fore- casting Consumer Price Index
2016/1/26
This article establishes the functional coefficient moving average mod-el (FMA), which allows the coefficient of the classical moving average model to adapt with a covariate. The functional coefficien...
Forecasting Equity Premium: Global Historical Average versus Local Historical Average and Constraints
Equity premium Nonparametric local historical average model Positivity con- straint Bagging Model averaging
2016/1/20
The equity premium, return on equity minus return on risk-free asset, is expected to be positive. We consider imposing such positivity constraint in local historical average (LHA) in nonparametric ker...
Nonparametric and Semiparametric Regressions Subject to Monotonicity Constraints: Estimation and Forecasting
Nonlinearity Nonparametric regression Semiparametric regression Local mono- tonicity Bagging
2016/1/20
This paper considers nonparametric and semiparametric regression models subject to monotonicity constraint. We use bagging as an alternative approach to Hall and Huang(2001). Asymptotic properties of ...